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Description Field Ind Field Data
Leader LDR nam i 00
Control # 1 2019934600
Control # Id 3 DLC
Date 5 20200331134540.0
Fixed Data 8 190219s2019 ctua b 001 0 eng d
LC Card 10    $a 2019934600
ISBN 20    $a0300244665$qpaperback
ISBN 20    $a9780300244663$qpaperback
Local Ctrl # 35    $a(OCoLC)on1055260945
Obsolete 39    $a318415$cTLC
Cat. Source 40    $aYDX$beng$cYDX$erda$dBDX$dOCLCQ$dFM0$dOCLCO$dCHVBK$dYUS$dSINLB$dUKMGB$dOCLCF$dOCLCO$dHRM$dUKOBU$dVP@$dDLC
Authen. Ctr. 42    $alccopycat
LC Call 50 00 $aHB3730$b.C368 2019
Dewey Class 82 04 $a330.01/12$223
ME:Pers Name 100 $aCastle, Jennifer,$d1979-$eauthor.
Title 245 10 $aForecasting :$ban essential introduction /$cJennifer L. Castle, Michael P. Clements, David F. Hendry.
Tag 264 264  1 $aNew Haven :$bYale University Press,$c[2019]
Tag 264 264  4 $cÃ2019
Phys Descrpt 300    $axiv, 213 pages :$billustrations ;$c22 cm
Tag 336 336    $atext$btxt$2rdacontent
Tag 337 337    $aunmediated$bn$2rdamedia
Tag 338 338    $avolume$bnc$2rdacarrier
Note:Bibliog 504    $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
Note:Content 505 $aWhy do we need forecasts? -- How do we make forecasts? -- Where are we before we forecast? -- How do we judge forecasts? -- How uncertain are our forecasts? -- Are some real world events unpredictable? -- Why do systematic forecast failures occur? -- Can we avoid systematic forecast failures? -- How do we automatically detect breaks? -- Can we forecast breaks before they hit? -- Can we improve forecasts during breaks? -- Would more information be useful? -- Can econometrics improve forecasting? -- Can you trust economic forecasts?
Abstract 520    $aMaking accurate predictions about the economy has always been difficult, but today forecasters have to contend with increasing complexity and unpredictable feedback loops. This introduction provides an accessible overview of the processes and difficulties of forecasting. For students, for practitioners new to the field, and for general readers interested in how economists forecast.
Subj:Topical 650  0 $aEconomic forecasting.
AE:Pers Name 700 $aClements, Michael P.$eauthor.
AE:Pers Name 700 $aHendry, David F.$eauthor.